5 Pro Trading Secrets
The importance of technical analysis in trading cannot be denied. Technical analysis depends on the price action in the market. Price action is purely driven by the mass psychology. But depending too much on technical analysis without going into the fundamentals that are driving the price action in the market can be short sighted. Good traders always understand the importance of fundamental analysis and how it drives the long term trends in the market. You need to combine technical analysis with fundamental analysis!
If you are trading heating oil or for that matter agricultural commodities than you might know that heating oil demand climbs in the fall and the winter. This is obvious. People use more heating oil in the winter. In the same way, agricultural commodities have seasonality in them that you need to know as a trader. Now, if you think that going long on the December Heating Oil Futures Contract is a good think to do than you must be quite naive. Professional traders and investors are already aware of the seasonality in the heating oil or for that matter the contract that they trade. So they have already catered the price of this seasonality in their contracts.
Another thing that you need to always keep in mind is the date and time of release of Economic Reports. So, if you are trading on Friday, you need tos top trading before 8:30 AM EST as the market usually gets too volatile around this time. There are traders who specialize in trading the NFP Report. But if you are not specifically trading NFP Report, you need to stay away from the market around this time. You can’t do anything about the breaking news. It is always a surprise. But as far as the Economic Reports are concerned, they have a fixed schedule. These reports are released at a fixed time and date of the week or the month. NFP is report is always released on Friday at 8:30 AM EST.
Always try to follow the media. Read the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times or the Bloomberg website regularly. This will give you a good idea of the fundamentals that are moving different markets. In case, you are trading agricultural commodities like coffee, cocoa, soybean etc., it may be difficult to find information on these websites. In such a case subscribe to a specialized newsletter that can keep you abreast of the changing fundamentals in these markets.
What starts in one market may soon spread to the other markets. The stock market crash of 1987 had started in the futures market. Similarly the recent stock market crash has its origins in the subprime mortgage market. Now, no market functions in isolation. All market in the present time have become highly interconnected and interlinked. You need to understand the interrelationship between the futures markets and the stock market. What are the double and triple witching dates and how they might affect your trading or for that matter your investments.
Rising crude oil prices can increase inflation in the economy forcing the central banks to raise interest rates. Similarly, strong US Dollar can mean cheap foreign goods. So never think in terms of only one market. Always think in terms of multiple markets. Crudeoil, US Dollar and gold can significantly impact other markets.
You should make a checklist to help you execute a trade. A trend may appear different on different timeframes. Always check that your daily charts are in agreement with the long term trends. Use multiple timeframes to figure out the primary trend in the market.
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